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Thailand tour of Indonesia · 2024 · Men
5 May 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Thailand started on 48%; Thailand batted first.
Thailand's chances ranged from 14% to 100% during the match (Indonesia: 0% to 86%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akshaykumar Yadavcaught · Ahmad Ramdoni · RM Koda 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmad Ramdoni · b RM Koda | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
| Chaloemwong Chatphaisancaught · Gaurav Tiwari · F Banunaek 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gaurav Tiwari · b F Banunaek | 18 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Y Saranonnakkuncaught · Kadek Gamantika · RM Koda 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kadek Gamantika · b RM Koda | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Austin Lazaruscaught · Ahmad Ramdoni · F Banunaek 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ahmad Ramdoni · b F Banunaek | 21 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 131.25 |
| S Rungrueangcaught and bowled · RM Koda 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b RM Koda | 25 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 83.33 |
| Jandre Coetzeerun out · Anjar Tadarus · Gaurav Tiwari 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Anjar Tadarus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Nopphon Senamontreecaught · Ketut Artawan · F Banunaek 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ketut Artawan · b F Banunaek | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| N Nuntarachcaught · Ahmad Ramdoni · Ketut Artawan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmad Ramdoni · b Ketut Artawan | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Mukesh Thakurcaught · PR Surve · Danilson Hawoe 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · PR Surve · b Danilson Hawoe | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 196.00 |
|---|
| A Kalasinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilson Hawoe0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 8 | 0 |
| RM Koda0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Gaurav Tiwari0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| F Banunaek0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ketut Artawan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kadek Gamantika0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| PR Surve0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (Akshaykumar Yadav, 2.0) · 2-21 (Y Saranonnakkun, 3.3) · 3-59 (Chaloemwong Chatphaisan, 8.4) · 4-60 (Austin Lazarus, 9.0) · 5-61 (Jandre Coetzee, 9.2) · 6-62 (Nopphon Senamontree, 10.1) · 7-67 (N Nuntarach, 11.4) · 8-136 (Mukesh Thakur, 18.4) · 9-145 (S Rungrueang, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 25/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 32/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 55/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 60/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 62/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 65/6 |
| 12 | 4 | 69/7 |
| 13 | 12 | 81/7 |
| 14 | 4 | 85/7 |
| 15 | 12 | 97/7 |
| 16 | 5 | 102/7 |
| 17 | 11 | 113/7 |
| 18 | 16 | 129/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 139/8 |
| 20 | 6 | 145/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.