Lahore QalandarsversusKarachi Kings

29 Mar 2026 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Karachi Kings won by 4 wickets

Lahore Qalandars20.0 overs128/9 Karachi Kings19.3 overs131/6 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lahore Qalandars started on 57%; Lahore Qalandars batted first.

Lahore Qalandars’s chance of winning (%) · Karachi Kings is the rest

Lahore Qalandars's chances ranged from 9% to 59% during the match (Karachi Kings: 41% to 91%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 17.6: Haris Rauf to Azam Khan, four by Azam Khan. Karachi Kings up from 41% to 67%.
2nd inns 18.6: Mustafizur Rahman to Khushdil Shah, six by Khushdil Shah. Karachi Kings up from 46% to 76%.
2nd inns 19.2: Haris Rauf to Abbas Afridi, four by Abbas Afridi. Karachi Kings up from 57% to 88%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lahore Qalandars128/9 Karachi Kings131/6

Innings 1