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England tour of Pakistan · 2024/25 · Men
24 Oct 2024 · Test
Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · Saim Ayub · Nauman Ali3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saim Ayub · b Nauman Ali | 29 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 67.44 |
 Ben Duckettlbw · Nauman Ali4 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Nauman Ali | 52 | 84 | 4 | 1 | 61.90 |
 Ollie Popelbw · Sajid Khan0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sajid Khan | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 21.43 |
 |
| lbw · b Sajid Khan |
| 5 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 83.33 |
 Harry Brookbowled · Sajid Khan0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sajid Khan | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 35.71 |
|---|
 Ben Stokescaught · Salman Ali Agha · Sajid Khan1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Sajid Khan | 12 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 54.55 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · RajaZahid5 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b RajaZahid | 89 | 119 | 5 | 6 | 74.79 |
|---|
| Gus Atkinsoncaught and bowled · Nauman Ali 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nauman Ali | 39 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 54.93 |
|---|
 Rehan Ahmedbowled · Sajid Khan1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sajid Khan | 9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 64.29 |
|---|
 Jack Leachstumped · Mohammad Rizwan · Sajid Khan0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Mohammad Rizwan · b Sajid Khan | 16 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 76.19 |
|---|
| Shoaib Bashirnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sajid Khan4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 29.2 | 4 | 128 | 6 | 4.36 | 0 | 0 |
| Nauman Ali2 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 28.0 | 2 | 88 | 3 | 3.14 | 0 | 3 |
| RajaZahid1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 44 | 1 | 4.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Salman Ali Agha0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-56 (Zak Crawley, 14.0) · 2-70 (Ollie Pope, 18.5) · 3-80 (Joe Root, 21.0) · 4-98 (Ben Duckett, 25.5) · 5-98 (Harry Brook, 26.4) · 6-118 (Ben Stokes, 32.1) · 7-223 (Gus Atkinson, 59.4) · 8-241 (Jamie Smith, 62.3) · 9-258 (Rehan Ahmed, 66.2) · 10-267 (Jack Leach, 68.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 8/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 15/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 22/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 29/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 32/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 38/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 41/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 43/0 |
| 12 | 7 | 50/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 54/0 |
| 14 | 2 | 56/1 |
| 15 | 0 | 56/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 57/1 |
| 17 | 6 | 63/1 |
| 18 | 5 | 68/1 |
| 19 | 3 | 71/2 |
| 20 | 6 | 77/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 80/3 |
| 22 | 1 | 81/3 |
| 23 | 6 | 87/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 91/3 |
| 25 | 5 | 96/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 98/4 |
| 27 | 0 | 98/5 |
| 28 | 4 | 102/5 |
| 29 | 5 | 107/5 |
| 30 | 3 | 110/5 |
| 31 | 2 | 112/5 |
| 32 | 6 | 118/5 |
| 33 | 2 | 120/6 |
| 34 | 0 | 120/6 |
| 35 | 1 | 121/6 |
| 36 | 0 | 121/6 |
| 37 | 0 | 121/6 |
| 38 | 6 | 127/6 |
| 39 | 12 | 139/6 |
| 40 | 2 | 141/6 |
| 41 | 6 | 147/6 |
| 42 | 3 | 150/6 |
| 43 | 2 | 152/6 |
| 44 | 2 | 154/6 |
| 45 | 3 | 157/6 |
| 46 | 1 | 158/6 |
| 47 | 0 | 158/6 |
| 48 | 4 | 162/6 |
| 49 | 3 | 165/6 |
| 50 | 2 | 167/6 |
| 51 | 8 | 175/6 |
| 52 | 2 | 177/6 |
| 53 | 2 | 179/6 |
| 54 | 2 | 181/6 |
| 55 | 2 | 183/6 |
| 56 | 12 | 195/6 |
| 57 | 12 | 207/6 |
| 58 | 4 | 211/6 |
| 59 | 11 | 222/6 |
| 60 | 1 | 223/7 |
| 61 | 15 | 238/7 |
| 62 | 2 | 240/7 |
| 63 | 2 | 242/8 |
| 64 | 3 | 245/8 |
| 65 | 3 | 248/8 |
| 66 | 6 | 254/8 |
| 67 | 8 | 262/9 |
| 68 | 5 | 267/9 |
| 69 | 0 | 267/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Leach: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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