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Asian Cricket Council Men's Challenger Cup · 2023/24 · Men
27 Jan 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Myanmar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Myanmar started on 56%; Myanmar batted first.
Myanmar's chances ranged from 0% to 57% during the match (Cambodia: 43% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ko Ko Lin Thucaught · US Hathinjar · GC Murtaza 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · US Hathinjar · b GC Murtaza | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 23.08 |
| Pyae Phyo Waicaught · E Beukes · Utkarsh Jain 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · E Beukes · b Utkarsh Jain | 16 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 106.67 |
| Khin Ayecaught · Utkarsh Jain · Luqman Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Utkarsh Jain · b Luqman Butt | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18.18 |
| Paing Danucaught · Lakshit Gupta · Utkarsh Jain 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lakshit Gupta · b Utkarsh Jain | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Htet Lin Aungrun out · US Hathinjar · RR Sharan 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · US Hathinjar | 11 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 61.11 |
| caught · Luqman Butt · b Utkarsh Jain |
| 2 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 28.57 |
| Thuya Aungrun out · Lakshit Gupta · Luqman Butt 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Lakshit Gupta | 13 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 38.24 |
|---|
| Ye Naing Tuncaught · Utkarsh Jain · RR Sharan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Utkarsh Jain · b RR Sharan | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nyein Cham Soenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Aung Ko Konot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 14 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Godara1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3.00 | 5 | 0 |
| GC Murtaza0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Luqman Butt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Utkarsh Jain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| RR Sharan1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 2.50 | 5 | 0 |
1-12 (Ko Ko Lin Thu, 3.4) · 2-22 (Khin Aye, 6.0) · 3-28 (Pyae Phyo Wai, 6.3) · 4-33 (Paing Danu, 8.3) · 5-38 (Htet Lin Oo, 10.2) · 6-50 (Htet Lin Aung, 13.3) · 7-59 (Ye Naing Tun, 17.1) · 8-70 (Thuya Aung, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 20/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 22/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 28/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 29/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 33/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 37/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 41/5 |
| 12 | 0 | 41/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 48/5 |
| 14 | 2 | 50/6 |
| 15 | 1 | 51/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 55/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 59/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 63/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 68/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 72/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.