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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
7 Jul 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Switzerland started on 50%; Switzerland batted first.
Switzerland's chances ranged from 4% to 99% during the match (Belgium: 1% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faheem Nazirstumped · A Raza · D Dewald 6 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · A Raza · b D Dewald | 42 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 161.54 |
| Idrees Ul Haquecaught · Muhammad Fahim · Sajad Ahmadzai 6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Muhammad Fahim · b Sajad Ahmadzai | 55 | 43 | 6 | 3 | 127.91 |
| Arjun Vinodcaught and bowled · D Dewald 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b D Dewald | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ahmed Hassancaught · Muhammad Muneeb · Muhammad Fahim 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Muhammad Muneeb · b Muhammad Fahim | 49 | 34 | 4 | 3 | 144.12 |
| M Stanikzairun out · D Dewald, A Raza · Muhammad Fahim 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · D Dewald, A Raza | 14 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Jai Sinhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 1* |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Fahim0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 11.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Sajad Ahmadzai0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Khalid Ahmadi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Aziz Mohammad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| B Niaz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| D Dewald0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheraz Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-90 (Faheem Nazir, 9.1) · 2-90 (Arjun Vinod, 9.3) · 3-123 (Idrees Ul Haque, 14.4) · 4-170 (Ahmed Hassan, 19.4) · 5-172 (M Stanikzai, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 29/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 32/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 42/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 55/0 |
| 7 | 15 | 70/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 80/0 |
| 9 | 10 | 90/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 91/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 97/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 108/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 113/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 118/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 125/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 132/3 |
| 17 | 12 | 144/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 153/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 159/3 |
| 20 | 13 | 172/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.