OmanversusSaudi Arabia

13 Dec 2025 · T20

Recorded result

Oman won by 167 runs

Oman20.0 overs203/3 Saudi Arabia18.4 overs36/10 Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1) ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Oman more likely to win

88%Oman12%Saudi Arabia

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Oman rate stronger than Saudi Arabia (1,469 vs 1,206 on our results rating)
Oman are playing at home in Oman
In the last 1 T20 internationals between these sides, Oman won 1 and Saudi Arabia won 0

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Oman started on 88%; Oman batted first.

Oman’s chance of winning (%) · Saudi Arabia is the rest

Oman's chances ranged from 89% to 100% during the match (Saudi Arabia: 0% to 11%).

Biggest swings

1.4: Ashmal Hashmi to N Joshi, 2 runs to N Joshi. Oman up from 90% to 92%.
2.1: Mah Noor Amir to J Gunasekar, four by J Gunasekar. Oman up from 90% to 92%.
4.1: Mah Noor to J Gunasekar, four by J Gunasekar. Oman up from 95% to 96%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Oman203/3 Saudi Arabia36/10

Innings 1

Oman

203/320.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Oman batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
J Gunasekarstumped · Nimra Ghazanfar · Simrah Mirza 7 fours · 0 sixes	stumped · Nimra Ghazanfar · b Simrah Mirza	66	43	7	0	153.49
N Joshilbw · Rumaisa Jawad Nasir 3 fours · 0 sixes	lbw · b Rumaisa Jawad Nasir	33	25	3	0	132.00
Fizanot out 4 fours · 0 sixes	not out	39*	22	4	0	177.27
TB Pawdelbw · Mah Noor Amir 2 fours · 0 sixes	lbw · b Mah Noor Amir	26	22	2	0	118.18
PE Mendoncanot out 1 fours · 0 sixes	not out	13*	11	1	0	118.18
Extras	byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 22 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
Mah Noor Amir0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	35	1	8.75	7	0
Ashmal Hashmi0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls	2.0	24	0	12.00	3	1
Mah Noor0 maidens · 8 wides · 2 no-balls	3.0	41	0	13.67	8	2
Laiba Nasrullah0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	39	0	9.75	2	0
Simrah Mirza0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	37	1	9.25	2	0
Rumaisa Jawad Nasir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	26	1	8.67	0	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	4	4/0
2	9	13/0
3	12	25/0
4	15	40/0
5	15	55/0
6	12	67/0
7	12	79/0
8	10	89/0
9	14	103/0
10	7	110/0
11	11	121/1
12	10	131/2
13	6	137/2
14	10	147/2
15	9	156/2
16	10	166/2
17	8	174/3
18	9	183/3
19	12	195/3
20	8	203/3

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