Guyana Amazon WarriorsversusAntigua and Barbuda Falcons

22 Aug 2025 · T20

Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Guyana Amazon Warriors won by 83 runs

Guyana Amazon Warriors20.0 overs211/3 Antigua and Barbuda Falcons15.2 overs128/10 Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Guyana Amazon Warriors started on 51%; Guyana Amazon Warriors batted first.

Guyana Amazon Warriors’s chance of winning (%) · Antigua and Barbuda Falcons is the rest

Guyana Amazon Warriors's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Antigua and Barbuda Falcons: 0% to 59%).

Biggest swings

2.1: OC McCoy to BR McDermott, BR McDermott out. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons up from 49% to 58%.
10.4: Imad Wasim to KA Anderson, KA Anderson out. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons up from 48% to 56%.
2nd inns 4.3: R Shepherd to K Gore, K Gore out. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 83% to 91%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Guyana Amazon Warriors211/3 Antigua and Barbuda Falcons128/10

Innings 1