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Indonesia Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2025 · Men
9 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Indonesia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
South Korea started on 24%; South Korea batted first.
South Korea's chances ranged from 0% to 24% during the match (Indonesia: 76% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daham Madampagecaught · Anjar Tadarus · Dhanesh Shetty 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anjar Tadarus · b Dhanesh Shetty | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
| Balage Dilrukshabowled · F Banunaek 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b F Banunaek | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| HMHE Parsonscaught · F Banunaek · Dhanesh Shetty 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · F Banunaek · b Dhanesh Shetty | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Kuldeep Gurjarcaught · Ahmad Ramdoni · Anjar Tadarus 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmad Ramdoni · b Anjar Tadarus | 7 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 29.17 |
| Nishat Sakibcaught · Ahmad Ramdoni · Dhanesh Shetty 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmad Ramdoni · b Dhanesh Shetty | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sameera Madurangacaught and bowled · Anjar Tadarus 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Anjar Tadarus | 12 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Kim Daeyeoncaught · Gede Priandana · Anjar Tadarus 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Gede Priandana · b Anjar Tadarus | 7 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 41.18 |
|---|
| Lee Hyosincaught · Kadek Gamantika · Anjar Tadarus 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kadek Gamantika · b Anjar Tadarus | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Bilal Ahmad Mircaught · Anjar Tadarus · RM Koda 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Anjar Tadarus · b RM Koda | 15 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 88.24 |
|---|
| K Babubowled · Anjar Tadarus 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Anjar Tadarus | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Basharat Hussainnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dhanesh Shetty0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 1.75 | 2 | 0 |
| F Banunaek0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Danilson Hawoe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| RM Koda0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 4.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Anjar Tadarus0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-3 (Balage Dilruksha, 1.4) · 2-6 (Daham Madampage, 2.1) · 3-7 (HMHE Parsons, 2.3) · 4-7 (Nishat Sakib, 2.5) · 5-27 (Sameera Maduranga, 9.4) · 6-30 (Kuldeep Gurjar, 11.3) · 7-30 (Lee Hyosin, 11.4) · 8-41 (Kim Daeyeon, 14.0) · 9-45 (K Babu, 15.3) · 10-52 (Bilal Ahmad Mir, 17.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 7/4 |
| 4 | 5 | 12/4 |
| 5 | 2 | 14/4 |
| 6 | 5 | 19/4 |
| 7 | 3 | 22/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 24/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 26/4 |
| 10 | 1 | 27/5 |
| 11 | 1 | 28/5 |
| 12 | 2 | 30/7 |
| 13 | 6 | 36/7 |
| 14 | 5 | 41/8 |
| 15 | 3 | 44/8 |
| 16 | 1 | 45/9 |
| 17 | 1 | 46/9 |
| 18 | 6 | 52/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.