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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
25 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Qatar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Qatar started on 54%; Qatar batted first.
Qatar's chances ranged from 54% to 100% during the match (Bahrain: 1% to 47%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imal Liyanagerun out · Haider Butt, Ali Dawood · Ali Dawood 7 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Haider Butt, Ali Dawood | 78 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 159.18 |
| Saqlain Arshadbowled · Rizwan Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rizwan Butt | 10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Mohammad Ahnaffnot out 6 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 60* | 50 | 6 | 1 | 120.00 |
| Muhammad Tanveernot out 1 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 30* | 7 | 1 | 4 | 428.57 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|
| Ali Dawood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizwan Butt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Khan (5)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Sohail Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-31 (Saqlain Arshad, 4.1) · 2-151 (Imal Liyanage, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 33/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 38/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 48/1 |
| 8 | 12 | 60/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 65/1 |
| 10 | 11 | 76/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 84/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 89/1 |
| 13 | 10 | 99/1 |
| 14 | 10 | 109/1 |
| 15 | 14 | 123/1 |
| 16 | 8 | 131/1 |
| 17 | 8 | 139/1 |
| 18 | 11 | 150/1 |
| 19 | 14 | 164/2 |
| 20 | 21 | 185/2 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.