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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
8 Jun 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 59%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 0% to 82% during the match (Middlesex: 18% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Rossingtoncaught · Leus du Plooy · Tom Helm5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Leus du Plooy · b Tom Helm | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 182.35 |
 Dean Elgarcaught · Jack Davies · Joshua Little5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Davies · b Joshua Little | 32 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 145.45 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Jack Davies · Tom Helm 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Davies · b Tom Helm | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Paul Walterstumped · Jack Davies · Luke Hollman 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Jack Davies · b Luke Hollman | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 88.89 |
| caught · Joshua Little · b Luke Hollman |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| CWJ Allisonstumped · Jack Davies · Zafar Gohar 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Jack Davies · b Zafar Gohar | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Luc Benkensteincaught · Ryan Higgins · Noah Cornwell 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ryan Higgins · b Noah Cornwell | 26 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 123.81 |
|---|
 Simon Harmercaught · Ben Geddes · Tom Helm4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ben Geddes · b Tom Helm | 41 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 146.43 |
|---|
 Shane Snatercaught · Luke Hollman · Tom Helm1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Hollman · b Tom Helm | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 72.73 |
|---|
 Sam Cooknot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Joshua Little0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 4 | 8.00 | 4 | 0 |
 Zafar Gohar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-60 (Adam Rossington, 5.3) · 2-60 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 5.5) · 3-71 (Dean Elgar, 8.0) · 4-73 (Paul Walter, 8.4) · 5-74 (CWJ Allison, 9.4) · 6-78 (Matthew Critchley, 10.1) · 7-121 (Luc Benkenstein, 16.4) · 8-147 (Shane Snater, 19.2) · 9-156 (Simon Harmer, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 17 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 37/0 |
| 5 | 18 | 55/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 62/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 67/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 71/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 74/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 78/5 |
| 11 | 7 | 85/6 |
| 12 | 6 | 91/6 |
| 13 | 3 | 94/6 |
| 14 | 12 | 106/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 113/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 116/6 |
| 17 | 9 | 125/7 |
| 18 | 9 | 134/7 |
| 19 | 13 | 147/7 |
| 20 | 9 | 156/9 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
