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Photo: PaddyBriggs
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Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
11 Jan 2026 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 48%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 0% to 82% during the match (Northern Districts: 18% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Robinsonbowled · Brett Hampton 4 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Brett Hampton | 65 | 47 | 4 | 4 | 138.30 |
 Callum McLachlancaught · Matthew Fisher · Scott Kuggeleijn0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Fisher · b Scott Kuggeleijn | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Tom Blundellcaught · Katene Clarke · Mitchell Santner10 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Katene Clarke · b Mitchell Santner | 73 | 41 | 10 | 2 | 178.05 |
 Rachin Ravindrabowled · Tim Pringle3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tim Pringle |
| 12 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 158.33 |
 Muhammad Abbasrun out · Katene Clarke, Tim Pringle · Tim Pringle0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Katene Clarke, Tim Pringle | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Jesse Tashkoffcaught · Brett Hampton · Scott Kuggeleijn1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brett Hampton · b Scott Kuggeleijn | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Logan van Beeknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Peter Younghusbandbowled · Scott Kuggeleijn 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Scott Kuggeleijn | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ben Searsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott Kuggeleijn0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Matthew Fisher0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10.33 | 3 | 0 |
 Brett Hampton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Tim Pringle0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
| JH Brown0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 1 | 0 |
| FF Lellman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Callum McLachlan, 2.0) · 2-144 (Tom Blundell, 14.3) · 3-147 (Tim Robinson, 15.2) · 4-173 (Muhammad Abbas, 18.2) · 5-173 (Rachin Ravindra, 18.3) · 6-179 (Jesse Tashkoff, 19.2) · 7-179 (Peter Younghusband, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 17 | 56/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 67/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 77/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 82/1 |
| 10 | 16 | 98/1 |
| 11 | 11 | 109/1 |
| 12 | 12 | 121/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 126/1 |
| 14 | 12 | 138/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 146/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 151/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 156/3 |
| 18 | 16 | 172/3 |
| 19 | 7 | 179/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 185/7 |
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tim Pringle: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Xavier Bell: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Pomare: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yahya Zeb: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Callum McLachlan: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Brett Hampton: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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