OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: This image's author is Kiwi Flickr Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Pakistan tour of New Zealand · 2024/25 · Men
21 Mar 2025 · T20
Eden Park, Auckland · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
New Zealand started on 82%; New Zealand batted first.
New Zealand's chances ranged from 0% to 96% during the match (Pakistan: 4% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Seifertcaught · Salman Ali Agha · Haris Rauf 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Haris Rauf | 19 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 211.11 |
| Finn Allencaught · Haris Rauf · Shaheen Afridi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Haris Rauf · b Shaheen Afridi | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mark Chapmancaught · Shadab Khan · Shaheen Afridi 11 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Shadab Khan · b Shaheen Afridi | 94 | 44 | 11 | 4 | 213.64 |
| Daryl Mitchellcaught · Haris Rauf · Shadab Khan 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Haris Rauf · b Shadab Khan | 17 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 154.55 |
| James Neeshamlbw · Abbas Afridi 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Abbas Afridi | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| bowled · b Abrar Ahmed |
| 9 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 112.50 |
| Michael Bracewellbowled · Haris Rauf 3 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Haris Rauf | 31 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 172.22 |
|---|
 Kyle Jamiesonbowled · Abrar Ahmed0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abrar Ahmed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ish Sodhicaught · Mohammad Haris · Haris Rauf1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Haris · b Haris Rauf | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Jacob Duffycaught · Irfan Khan · Abbas Afridi0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Irfan Khan · b Abbas Afridi | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Ben Searsnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shaheen Afridi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Abrar Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 14.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Haris Rauf0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Abbas Afridi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 8.47 | 0 | 0 |
 Shadab Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Khushdil Shah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Salman Ali Agha0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-3 (Finn Allen, 0.5) · 2-43 (Tim Seifert, 4.1) · 3-98 (Daryl Mitchell, 9.1) · 4-135 (James Neesham, 11.5) · 5-141 (Mark Chapman, 12.5) · 6-164 (Mitchell Hay, 14.5) · 7-164 (Kyle Jamieson, 15.0) · 8-193 (Michael Bracewell, 18.2) · 9-194 (Ish Sodhi, 18.4) · 10-204 (Jacob Duffy, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 17 | 21/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 30/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 42/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 49/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 58/2 |
| 7 | 11 | 69/2 |
| 8 | 11 | 80/2 |
| 9 | 18 | 98/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 105/3 |
| 11 | 17 | 122/3 |
| 12 | 13 | 135/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 142/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 150/5 |
| 15 | 14 | 164/7 |
| 16 | 8 | 172/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 175/7 |
| 18 | 17 | 192/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 200/9 |
| 20 | 4 | 204/10 |
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Abrar Ahmed: Nazly Ahmed · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
_(Sodhi_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}