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Austria tour of Romania · 2025/26 · Men
18 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Austria started on 78%; Austria batted first.
Austria's chances ranged from 31% to 99% during the match (Romania: 1% to 69%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karanbir Singhcaught · J Fernando · T Sandaruwan 3 fours · 11 sixes | caught · J Fernando · b T Sandaruwan | 90 | 46 | 3 | 11 | 195.65 |
| Bilal Zalmailbw · J Khadka 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b J Khadka | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Amar Naeembowled · M Koli 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Koli | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Ranjit Singhcaught · Avishka Iroshan · Taranjeet Singh 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Avishka Iroshan · b Taranjeet Singh | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Aqib Iqbalcaught · J Fernando · M Koli 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Fernando · b M Koli | 10 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 76.92 |
| caught · Taranjeet Singh · b T Sandaruwan |
| 6 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| Zeshan Arifcaught · J Khadka · T Sandaruwan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Khadka · b T Sandaruwan | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Irfan Safinot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 17* | 8 | 0 | 2 | 212.50 |
|---|
| SFS Cheemabowled · Taranjeet Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taranjeet Singh | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| KR Jhabowled · Avishka Iroshan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Avishka Iroshan | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
| Umair Tariqcaught · Taranjeet Singh · Ramesh Satheesan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Taranjeet Singh · b Ramesh Satheesan | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 16 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Khadka0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 6 | 0 |
| M Koli0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 6 | 0 |
| T Sandaruwan0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 1 | 1 |
| Taranjeet Singh1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| J Fernando0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ramesh Satheesan0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.2 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 8.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Avishka Iroshan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-48 (Bilal Zalmai, 4.1) · 2-58 (Amar Naeem, 6.0) · 3-97 (Ranjit Singh, 8.3) · 4-126 (Aqib Iqbal, 12.0) · 5-143 (Karanbir Singh, 13.5) · 6-148 (A Randhawa, 15.1) · 7-149 (Zeshan Arif, 15.5) · 8-150 (SFS Cheema, 16.2) · 9-159 (KR Jha, 18.1) · 10-171 (Umair Tariq, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 17 | 29/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 43/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 48/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 49/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 58/2 |
| 7 | 18 | 76/2 |
| 8 | 16 | 92/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 100/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 102/3 |
| 11 | 18 | 120/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 126/4 |
| 13 | 14 | 140/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 143/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 148/5 |
| 16 | 2 | 150/7 |
| 17 | 0 | 150/8 |
| 18 | 9 | 159/8 |
| 19 | 10 | 169/9 |
| 20 | 2 | 171/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.