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Malaysia Open T20 Championship · 2023/24 · Men
11 Mar 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Kuwait more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Vanuatu started on 29%; Vanuatu batted first.
Vanuatu's chances ranged from 0% to 44% during the match (Kuwait: 56% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Rasulbw · Yasin Patel 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Yasin Patel | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 144.44 |
| Patrick Matautaavastumped · Meet Bhavsar · Mohomad Aslam 2 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Meet Bhavsar · b Mohomad Aslam | 28 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 93.33 |
| JP Kaltapaulbw · Shiraz Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shiraz Khan | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Nalin Nipikobowled · Parvindar Kumar 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Parvindar Kumar | 24 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 70.59 |
| JD Allanlbw · Shiraz Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shiraz Khan | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Jamal Viralbw · Shiraz Khan0 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Shiraz Khan |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| W Wotucaught · Mohamed Shafeeq · Shiraz Khan 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohamed Shafeeq · b Shiraz Khan | 14 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Williamsing Nalisanot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 16 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Tim Cutlernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Shafeeq0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Yasin Patel0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Parvindar Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shiraz Khan1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Joshua Rasu, 3.2) · 2-50 (JP Kaltapau, 7.3) · 3-52 (Patrick Matautaava, 8.5) · 4-53 (JD Allan, 9.2) · 5-53 (Jamal Vira, 9.3) · 6-73 (W Wotu, 13.2) · 7-105 (Nalin Nipiko, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 33/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 42/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 45/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 53/3 |
| 10 | 0 | 53/5 |
| 11 | 7 | 60/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 63/5 |
| 13 | 10 | 73/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 77/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 81/6 |
| 16 | 8 | 89/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 93/6 |
| 18 | 3 | 96/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 103/6 |
| 20 | 3 | 106/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.