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Austria tour of Romania · 2025/26 · Men
19 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Romania started on 26%; Romania batted first.
Romania's chances ranged from 0% to 57% during the match (Austria: 43% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taranjeet Singhbowled · Baseer Khan 8 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Baseer Khan | 45 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 187.50 |
| Rohit Kumarcaught · Zeshan Arif · Baseer Khan 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zeshan Arif · b Baseer Khan | 21 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 87.50 |
| Ramesh Satheesanbowled · Bilal Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bilal Zalmai | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Md Ariyanbowled · Baseer Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Baseer Khan | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Avishka Iroshancaught · Baseer Khan · SFS Cheema 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Baseer Khan · b SFS Cheema | 21 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 140.00 |
| caught · Ranjit Singh · b Baseer Khan |
| 4 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| T Sandaruwanbowled · SFS Cheema 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b SFS Cheema | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| J Fernandocaught · Baseer Khan · SFS Cheema 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Baseer Khan · b SFS Cheema | 31 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 182.35 |
|---|
| R Pisalbowled · Aqib Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aqib Iqbal | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Luca Petrerun out · Arsalan Arif · Aqib Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Arsalan Arif | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| J Khadkanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Karanbir Singh0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Irfan Safi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Baseer Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 2.50 | 2 | 0 |
| SFS Cheema0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 4.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-70 (Taranjeet Singh, 7.2) · 2-77 (Ramesh Satheesan, 9.0) · 3-77 (Rohit Kumar, 9.1) · 4-86 (Md Ariyan, 11.1) · 5-103 (S Periyalwar, 13.2) · 6-109 (T Sandaruwan, 14.3) · 7-110 (Avishka Iroshan, 14.5) · 8-142 (J Fernando, 18.1) · 9-154 (R Pisal, 19.3) · 10-157 (Luca Petre, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 45/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 57/0 |
| 7 | 12 | 69/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 73/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 77/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 78/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 86/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 87/4 |
| 13 | 15 | 102/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 107/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 110/7 |
| 16 | 13 | 123/7 |
| 17 | 6 | 129/7 |
| 18 | 13 | 142/7 |
| 19 | 7 | 149/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 157/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.