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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
22 May 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Warwickshire started on 51%; Warwickshire batted first.
Warwickshire's chances ranged from 0% to 74% during the match (Essex: 26% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meg Austincaught · Amara Carr · Sophie Munro 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amara Carr · b Sophie Munro | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Abigail Freebornnot out 11 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 86* | 56 | 11 | 0 | 153.57 |
5 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Sophia Smale | 36 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 120.00 |
| Charis Pavelycaught · Jo Gardner · Eva Gray 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jo Gardner · b Eva Gray | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Chloe Brewercaught · Sophia Smale · Eva Gray 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sophia Smale · b Eva Gray |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Amara Carr, Jodi Grewcock | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Mary Taylorbowled · Jodi Grewcock 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jodi Grewcock | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Alexa Stonehousebowled · Jodi Grewcock 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jodi Grewcock | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Millie Taylorrun out · Grace Scrivens, Amara Carr · Sophie Munro 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Grace Scrivens, Amara Carr | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Georgia Davisnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Munro0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Eva Gray0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Esmae MacGregor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grace Scrivens0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jodi Grewcock0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 8.10 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (Meg Austin, 0.4) · 2-80 (Georgia Redmayne, 10.0) · 3-91 (Charis Pavely, 12.1) · 4-91 (Chloe Brewer, 12.2) · 5-109 (Nat Wraith, 14.2) · 6-126 (Mary Taylor, 16.3) · 7-127 (Alexa Stonehouse, 16.4) · 8-144 (Millie Taylor, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 15 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 54/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 63/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 72/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 77/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 80/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 85/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 91/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 96/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 105/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 115/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 125/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 132/7 |
| 18 | 12 | 144/7 |
| 19 | 9 | 153/8 |
| 20 | 11 | 164/8 |
Nat Wraith: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Redmayne: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.