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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Thailand) · 2023/24 · Men
12 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 84%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 85% to 100% during the match (Maldives: 0% to 15%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faisal Khanrun out · Umar Adam · Nazwan Ismail 7 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Umar Adam | 37 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 176.19 |
| Kashif Siddiquecaught · Hassan Rasheed · Ibrahim Rizan 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hassan Rasheed · b Ibrahim Rizan | 51 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 137.84 |
| Usman Khalidcaught and bowled · Mohamed Ishmath 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Mohamed Ishmath | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 90.91 |
| Waji Ul Hassanrun out · Azyan Farhath · Nazwan Ismail 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Azyan Farhath | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
| Waqar Ul Hassanbowled · Umar Adam 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Umar Adam | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| not out |
| 47* |
| 24 |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 195.83 |
| Hisham Sheikhcaught · Ismail Ali · Umar Adam 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ismail Ali · b Umar Adam | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Zain Ul Abidinnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Ishmath0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Umar Adam0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Ibrahim Hassan0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 1 | 2 |
| Nazwan Ismail0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 12.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Ibrahim Rizan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-67 (Faisal Khan, 5.5) · 2-92 (Usman Khalid, 9.3) · 3-110 (Kashif Siddique, 12.1) · 4-119 (Waqar Ul Hassan, 13.4) · 5-124 (Waji Ul Hassan, 14.3) · 6-151 (Hisham Sheikh, 17.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 17 | 29/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 36/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 49/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 58/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 71/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 74/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 83/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 91/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 94/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 99/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 110/2 |
| 13 | 8 | 118/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 120/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 125/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 135/5 |
| 17 | 16 | 151/5 |
| 18 | 3 | 154/6 |
| 19 | 10 | 164/6 |
| 20 | 22 | 186/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.