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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026/27 · Men
11 Oct 2026 · ODI
Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photographRecorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 17%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Suricaught · Smit Patel · Shubham Ranjane 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Shubham Ranjane | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Adeeb Usmanicaught · Smit Patel · Nosthush Kenjige 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Nosthush Kenjige | 12 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
| Muhammad Shahdadbowled · Shubham Ranjane 7 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Shubham Ranjane | 79 | 105 | 7 | 2 | 75.24 |
5 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Hasan Khan | 48 | 53 | 5 | 1 | 90.57 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Smit Patel · Saurabh Netravalkar2 fours · 0 sixes |
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 27% during the match (United States of America: 73% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Smit Patel · b Saurabh Netravalkar |
| 20 |
| 17 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 117.65 |
| Basil Hameedbowled · Shubham Ranjane 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shubham Ranjane | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Akshdeep Nathcaught · Smit Patel · Shubham Ranjane 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Shubham Ranjane | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 15.38 |
|---|
| Sohaib Khancaught · Smit Patel · Jasdeep Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Jasdeep Singh | 12 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 92.31 |
|---|
| Awais Ali Shahnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 24* | 26 | 3 | 0 | 92.31 |
|---|
| Khuzaima Tanveercaught · Milind Kumar · Saurabh Netravalkar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Milind Kumar · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Arfanlbw · Saurabh Netravalkar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkar1 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 9.3 | 1 | 23 | 3 | 2.42 | 0 | 2 |
| 10.0 | 2 | 39 | 4 | 3.90 | 1 | 0 | |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 6.13 | 2 | 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 4.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Milind Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hasan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shehan Jayasuriya0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-1 (T Suri, 1.2) · 2-33 (Adeeb Usmani, 11.4) · 3-131 (Harpreet Singh, 28.5) · 4-160 (Rahul Chopra, 33.2) · 5-173 (Basil Hameed, 36.2) · 6-174 (Muhammad Shahdad, 37.0) · 7-177 (Akshdeep Nath, 38.5) · 8-202 (Sohaib Khan, 43.5) · 9-203 (Khuzaima Tanveer, 44.3) · 10-213 (Muhammad Arfan, 46.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 2/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 5/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 9/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 9/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 15/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 21/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 28/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 32/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 33/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 42/2 |
| 14 | 1 | 43/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 52/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 56/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 58/2 |
| 18 | 7 | 65/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 71/2 |
| 20 | 7 | 78/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 82/2 |
| 22 | 9 | 91/2 |
| 23 | 6 | 97/2 |
| 24 | 10 | 107/2 |
| 25 | 7 | 114/2 |
| 26 | 2 | 116/2 |
| 27 | 7 | 123/2 |
| 28 | 5 | 128/2 |
| 29 | 4 | 132/3 |
| 30 | 9 | 141/3 |
| 31 | 11 | 152/3 |
| 32 | 3 | 155/3 |
| 33 | 4 | 159/3 |
| 34 | 3 | 162/4 |
| 35 | 4 | 166/4 |
| 36 | 6 | 172/4 |
| 37 | 2 | 174/6 |
| 38 | 3 | 177/6 |
| 39 | 0 | 177/7 |
| 40 | 1 | 178/7 |
| 41 | 7 | 185/7 |
| 42 | 10 | 195/7 |
| 43 | 4 | 199/7 |
| 44 | 3 | 202/8 |
| 45 | 1 | 203/9 |
| 46 | 9 | 212/9 |
| 47 | 1 | 213/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.