OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Jamaica1962
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
South Africa tour of West Indies · 2024 · Men
26 May 2024 · T20
Sabina Park · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
South Africa started on 28%; South Africa batted first.
South Africa's chances ranged from 0% to 31% during the match (West Indies: 69% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Quinton de Kocklbw · Gudakesh Motie3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gudakesh Motie | 19 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 105.56 |
 Reeza Hendrickscaught · Gudakesh Motie · Shamar Joseph1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gudakesh Motie · b Shamar Joseph | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Andre Fletcher · Obed McCoy3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andre Fletcher · b Obed McCoy | 18 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 128.57 |
| Matthew Breetzkecaught · Shamar Joseph · Gudakesh Motie 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shamar Joseph · b Gudakesh Motie |
| 5 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 71.43 |
| HE van der Dussencaught · Alick Athanaze · Obed McCoy 1 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Alick Athanaze · b Obed McCoy | 51 | 31 | 1 | 5 | 164.52 |
|---|
 Wiaan Muldercaught · Kyle Mayers · Obed McCoy3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kyle Mayers · b Obed McCoy | 36 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Patrick Krugernot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 16* | 13 | 1 | 1 | 123.08 |
|---|
| Gerald Coetzeecaught · Brandon King · Shamar Joseph 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brandon King · b Shamar Joseph | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Bjorn Fortuinnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akeal Hosein0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Shamar Joseph0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Fabian Allen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Obed McCoy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 3 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Gudakesh Motie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hayden Walsh, Jr.0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Reeza Hendricks, 1.3) · 2-43 (Ryan Rickelton, 5.4) · 3-47 (Quinton de Kock, 6.5) · 4-50 (Matthew Breetzke, 8.1) · 5-127 (Wiaan Mulder, 16.2) · 6-155 (HE van der Dussen, 19.0) · 7-156 (Gerald Coetzee, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 38/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 45/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 47/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 50/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 53/4 |
| 10 | 10 | 63/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 71/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 77/4 |
| 13 | 10 | 87/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 97/4 |
| 15 | 16 | 113/4 |
| 16 | 14 | 127/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 136/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 142/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 155/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 163/7 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kyle Mayers: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Quinton de Kock: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Reeza Hendricks: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}