Sunrisers HyderabadversusLucknow Super Giants

27 Mar 2025 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Lucknow Super Giants won by 5 wickets

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs190/9 Lucknow Super Giants16.1 overs193/5 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 51%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Lucknow Super Giants is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 0% to 69% during the match (Lucknow Super Giants: 31% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2.1: SN Thakur to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 44% to 57%.
2.2: SN Thakur to Ishan Kishan, Ishan Kishan out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 57% to 69%.
2nd inns 1.3: Mohammed Shami to AK Markram, AK Markram out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 58% to 69%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad190/9 Lucknow Super Giants193/5

Innings 1