OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
India tour of Australia · 2025/26 · Men
25 Oct 2025 · ODI
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Australia started on 51%; Australia batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Marshbowled · Axar Patel5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Axar Patel | 41 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 82.00 |
 Travis Headcaught · Prasidh Krishna · Mohammed Siraj6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Prasidh Krishna · b Mohammed Siraj | 29 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 116.00 |
| Matthew Shortcaught · Virat Kohli · Washington Sundar 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Virat Kohli · b Washington Sundar | 30 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 73.17 |
 Matt Renshawlbw · Washington Sundar2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Washington Sundar | 56 | 58 |
Australia's chances ranged from 0% to 77% during the match (India: 23% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 96.55 |
 Alex Careycaught · Shreyas Iyer · Harshit Rana1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shreyas Iyer · b Harshit Rana | 24 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 64.86 |
|---|
| Cooper Connollycaught · Virat Kohli · Harshit Rana 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Virat Kohli · b Harshit Rana | 23 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 67.65 |
|---|
| Mitchell Owencaught · Rohit Sharma · Harshit Rana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rohit Sharma · b Harshit Rana | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starcbowled · Kuldeep Yadav0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kuldeep Yadav | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Elliscaught · Rohit Sharma · Prasidh Krishna 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rohit Sharma · b Prasidh Krishna | 16 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 84.21 |
|---|
 Adam Zampanot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodbowled · Harshit Rana0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Harshit Rana | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammed Siraj1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 4.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Harshit Rana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.4 | 0 | 39 | 4 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Prasidh Krishna0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 52 | 1 | 7.43 | 2 | 0 |
 Kuldeep Yadav0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Axar Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 4.40 | 0 | 0 |
1-61 (Travis Head, 9.2) · 2-88 (Mitchell Marsh, 15.1) · 3-124 (Matthew Short, 22.3) · 4-183 (Alex Carey, 33.4) · 5-195 (Matt Renshaw, 36.2) · 6-198 (Mitchell Owen, 37.4) · 7-201 (Mitchell Starc, 38.4) · 8-223 (Nathan Ellis, 43.5) · 9-236 (Cooper Connolly, 46.2) · 10-236 (Josh Hazlewood, 46.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 31/0 |
| 7 | 13 | 44/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 54/0 |
| 9 | 3 | 57/0 |
| 10 | 6 | 63/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 67/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 71/1 |
| 13 | 7 | 78/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 80/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 88/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 92/2 |
| 17 | 8 | 100/2 |
| 18 | 4 | 104/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 108/2 |
| 20 | 5 | 113/2 |
| 21 | 5 | 118/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 121/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 124/3 |
| 24 | 7 | 131/3 |
| 25 | 3 | 134/3 |
| 26 | 3 | 137/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 140/3 |
| 28 | 5 | 145/3 |
| 29 | 7 | 152/3 |
| 30 | 4 | 156/3 |
| 31 | 6 | 162/3 |
| 32 | 9 | 171/3 |
| 33 | 7 | 178/3 |
| 34 | 6 | 184/4 |
| 35 | 4 | 188/4 |
| 36 | 7 | 195/4 |
| 37 | 2 | 197/5 |
| 38 | 2 | 199/6 |
| 39 | 2 | 201/7 |
| 40 | 5 | 206/7 |
| 41 | 1 | 207/7 |
| 42 | 9 | 216/7 |
| 43 | 2 | 218/7 |
| 44 | 5 | 223/8 |
| 45 | 1 | 224/8 |
| 46 | 12 | 236/8 |
| 47 | 0 | 236/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.JPG){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
