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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
27 May 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 51%; United States of America batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smit Patelcaught and bowled · Aamir Kaleem 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Aamir Kaleem | 41 | 47 | 5 | 0 | 87.23 |
| Shayan Jahangircaught · AR Bisht · Sufyan Mehmood 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AR Bisht · b Sufyan Mehmood | 37 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 123.33 |
| Monank Patelbowled · Aamir Kaleem 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aamir Kaleem | 26 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 65.00 |
| Saiteja Mukkamallalbw · Sufyan Mehmood 5 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Sufyan Mehmood | 73 | 79 | 5 | 1 | 92.41 |
| Milind Kumarlbw · Samay Shrivastava 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Samay Shrivastava | 11 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 45.83 |
United States of America's chances ranged from 50% to 98% during the match (Oman: 2% to 50%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Hammad Mirza · b Shakeel Ahmed |
| 33 |
| 36 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 91.67 |
| Sanjay Krishnamurthinot out 0 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 40* | 27 | 0 | 3 | 148.15 |
|---|
| Shadley van Schalkwykcaught · Vinayak Shukla · Sufyan Mehmood 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Vinayak Shukla · b Sufyan Mehmood | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 110.00 |
|---|
| Jasdeep Singhbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Nosthush Kenjigenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Ahmed1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 52 | 2 | 5.20 | 0 | 1 |
| Hassnain Shah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 7.80 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohammad Nadeem0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sufyan Mehmood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 58 | 3 | 6.44 | 1 | 0 |
| Aamir Kaleem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 4.78 | 0 | 0 |
| Mujibur Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
| AR Bisht1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-69 (Shayan Jahangir, 10.4) · 2-88 (Smit Patel, 15.3) · 3-134 (Monank Patel, 24.4) · 4-161 (Milind Kumar, 31.2) · 5-220 (Harmeet Singh, 41.2) · 6-244 (Saiteja Mukkamalla, 44.5) · 7-258 (Shadley van Schalkwyk, 46.5) · 8-270 (Jasdeep Singh, 48.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 27/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 31/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 42/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 49/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 56/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 57/0 |
| 10 | 9 | 66/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 70/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 72/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 80/1 |
| 14 | 3 | 83/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 86/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 90/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 95/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 97/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 101/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 103/2 |
| 21 | 12 | 115/2 |
| 22 | 7 | 122/2 |
| 23 | 6 | 128/2 |
| 24 | 4 | 132/2 |
| 25 | 3 | 135/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 139/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 142/3 |
| 28 | 2 | 144/3 |
| 29 | 2 | 146/3 |
| 30 | 7 | 153/3 |
| 31 | 8 | 161/3 |
| 32 | 3 | 164/4 |
| 33 | 5 | 169/4 |
| 34 | 5 | 174/4 |
| 35 | 0 | 174/4 |
| 36 | 3 | 177/4 |
| 37 | 9 | 186/4 |
| 38 | 8 | 194/4 |
| 39 | 2 | 196/4 |
| 40 | 10 | 206/4 |
| 41 | 14 | 220/4 |
| 42 | 1 | 221/5 |
| 43 | 14 | 235/5 |
| 44 | 6 | 241/5 |
| 45 | 4 | 245/6 |
| 46 | 3 | 248/6 |
| 47 | 14 | 262/7 |
| 48 | 8 | 270/8 |
| 49 | 11 | 281/8 |
| 50 | 12 | 293/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.