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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
18 Feb 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 32%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 7% to 99% during the match (Oman: 1% to 94%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smit Patelcaught · Bukkapatnam Siddharth · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bukkapatnam Siddharth · b Shakeel Ahmed | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Andries Gouslbw · Shakeel Ahmed 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Shakeel Ahmed | 14 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 63.64 |
| Harmeet Singhcaught · Hashir Dafedar · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Hashir Dafedar · b Shakeel Ahmed | 10 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 66.67 |
| Monank Patelbowled · Aamir Kaleem 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aamir Kaleem | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Saiteja Mukkamallacaught · Hammad Mirza · Aamir Kaleem 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hammad Mirza · b Aamir Kaleem | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 13.33 |
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Milind Kumarnot out 6 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 47* | 82 | 6 | 0 | 57.32 |
|---|
| Aaron Joneslbw · Samay Shrivastava 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Samay Shrivastava | 16 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Sanjay Krishnamurthicaught · Vinayak Shukla · Samay Shrivastava 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Vinayak Shukla · b Samay Shrivastava | 16 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 76.19 |
|---|
| Yasir Mohammadbowled · Jay Odedra 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jay Odedra | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Jasdeep Singhbowled · Bukkapatnam Siddharth 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bukkapatnam Siddharth | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
|---|
| Nosthush Kenjigerun out · Hammad Mirza, Shakeel Ahmed · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hammad Mirza, Shakeel Ahmed | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Ahmed3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.3 | 3 | 20 | 3 | 2.35 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay Odedra1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 3.29 | 3 | 0 |
| Aamir Kaleem3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 2.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 5.86 | 1 | 0 |
| Bukkapatnam Siddharth0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 3 | 0 |
1-0 (Smit Patel, 0.5) · 2-12 (Harmeet Singh, 4.4) · 3-25 (Monank Patel, 8.2) · 4-25 (Andries Gous, 9.2) · 5-31 (Saiteja Mukkamalla, 12.5) · 6-61 (Aaron Jones, 20.0) · 7-94 (Sanjay Krishnamurthi, 25.5) · 8-109 (Yasir Mohammad, 30.2) · 9-121 (Jasdeep Singh, 34.4) · 10-122 (Nosthush Kenjige, 35.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 1/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 4/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 12/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 19/2 |
| 7 | 0 | 19/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 25/2 |
| 9 | 0 | 25/3 |
| 10 | 0 | 25/4 |
| 11 | 0 | 25/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 29/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 31/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 35/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 44/5 |
| 16 | 2 | 46/5 |
| 17 | 0 | 46/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 55/5 |
| 19 | 1 | 56/5 |
| 20 | 5 | 61/6 |
| 21 | 3 | 64/6 |
| 22 | 7 | 71/6 |
| 23 | 5 | 76/6 |
| 24 | 5 | 81/6 |
| 25 | 6 | 87/6 |
| 26 | 7 | 94/7 |
| 27 | 2 | 96/7 |
| 28 | 6 | 102/7 |
| 29 | 3 | 105/7 |
| 30 | 3 | 108/7 |
| 31 | 2 | 110/8 |
| 32 | 2 | 112/8 |
| 33 | 2 | 114/8 |
| 34 | 2 | 116/8 |
| 35 | 5 | 121/9 |
| 36 | 1 | 122/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.