Sunrisers HyderabadversusDelhi Capitals

20 Apr 2024 · T20

Arun Jaitley Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 67 runs

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs266/7 Delhi Capitals19.1 overs199/10 Arun Jaitley Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 44%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 0% to 56%).

Biggest swings

0.2: KK Ahmed to TM Head, six by TM Head. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 44% to 50%.
1.1: Lalit Yadav to TM Head, six by TM Head. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 61% to 67%.
1.2: Lalit Yadav to TM Head, six by TM Head. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 67% to 72%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad266/7 Delhi Capitals199/10

Innings 1