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Finland Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2025 · Women
19 Jul 2025 · T20
Kerava National Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Switzerland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Switzerland started on 52%; Switzerland batted first.
Switzerland's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Estonia: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghna Rajanrun out · C Lokuge · A Vessik 9 fours · 0 sixes | run out · C Lokuge | 76 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 120.63 |
| N Clarkelbw · Viktoria Frey 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Viktoria Frey | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| F Elizabetcaught · Asma Shifa · Ragne Hallik 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asma Shifa · b Ragne Hallik | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| F Kuenburgnot out 6 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 43* | 31 | 6 | 0 | 138.71 |
| S Divyarun out · B Wani, M Valner · M Valner 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · B Wani, M Valner | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Ananya Srinivasannot out0 fours · 0 sixes |
| not out |
| 0* |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 16 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Valner1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Viktoria Frey0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 8.86 | 5 | 1 |
| A Vessik0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 9.71 | 6 | 0 |
| Ragne Hallik0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 4 | 1 |
| C Lokuge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| G Madanayake0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (N Clarke, 3.2) · 2-36 (F Elizabet, 7.2) · 3-149 (Meghna Rajan, 19.0) · 4-151 (S Divya, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 16/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 28/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 34/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 45/2 |
| 9 | 12 | 57/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 64/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 70/2 |
| 12 | 13 | 83/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 90/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 100/2 |
| 15 | 15 | 115/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 121/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 126/2 |
| 18 | 12 | 138/2 |
| 19 | 11 | 149/3 |
| 20 | 3 | 152/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.