Trinbago Knight RidersversusBarbados Royals

29 Aug 2024 · T20

Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Barbados Royals won by 4 wickets

Trinbago Knight Riders20.0 overs93/8 Barbados Royals15.0 overs94/6 Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Trinbago Knight Riders started on 41%; Trinbago Knight Riders batted first.

Trinbago Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Barbados Royals is the rest

Trinbago Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 46% during the match (Barbados Royals: 54% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.5: CA Henry to DJS Dottin, six by DJS Dottin. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 40% to 46%.
1.4: HK Matthews to DJS Dottin, DJS Dottin out. Barbados Royals up from 56% to 63%.
2.6: CA Henry to JI Rodrigues, JI Rodrigues out. Barbados Royals up from 65% to 73%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Trinbago Knight Riders93/8 Barbados Royals94/6

Innings 1