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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
3 Jul 2026 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographDurham started on 48%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 11% to 89% during the match (Yorkshire: 11% to 89%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Graham Clarkcaught · Andrew Tye · Fahim Ashraf3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Andrew Tye · b Fahim Ashraf | 29 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 207.14 |
 Alex Leescaught · Jonny Bairstow · Andrew Tye5 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Jonny Bairstow · b Andrew Tye | 73 | 35 | 5 | 6 | 208.57 |
| David Bedinghambowled · JA Chohan 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b JA Chohan | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
| BS McKinneycaught · Hasan Ali · Andrew Tye 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Hasan Ali · b Andrew Tye | 42 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 200.00 |
 |
| caught · Jonny Bairstow · b JA Chohan |
| 8 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
 Colin Ackermanncaught · Sam Whiteman · Hasan Ali1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Whiteman · b Hasan Ali | 21 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Kasey Aldridgecaught · Andrew Tye · JA Chohan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Tye · b JA Chohan | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Ben Rainecaught · Moeen Ali · Hasan Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Moeen Ali · b Hasan Ali | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Matthew Pottscaught · Andrew Tye · Hasan Ali2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Tye · b Hasan Ali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 183.33 |
|---|
| Nathan Sowternot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 3 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Dan Moriarty0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Moeen Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 16.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Fahim Ashraf0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Andrew Tye0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 1 |
| JA Chohan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-97 (Graham Clark, 7.1) · 2-114 (Alex Lees, 9.0) · 3-120 (David Bedingham, 9.5) · 4-160 (Ollie Robinson, 13.3) · 5-170 (BS McKinney, 14.4) · 6-177 (Kasey Aldridge, 16.0) · 7-183 (Ben Raine, 17.3) · 8-204 (Colin Ackermann, 19.4) · 9-205 (Matthew Potts, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 23 | 38/0 |
| 4 | 21 | 59/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 68/0 |
| 6 | 21 | 89/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 97/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 105/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 114/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 120/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 125/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 132/3 |
| 13 | 21 | 153/3 |
| 14 | 13 | 166/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 172/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 177/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 182/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 189/7 |
| 19 | 11 | 200/7 |
| 20 | 5 | 205/9 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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