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Asian Cricket Council Men's Challenger Cup · 2023/24 · Men
6 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Thailand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Maldives started on 27%; Maldives batted first.
Maldives's chances ranged from 0% to 41% during the match (Thailand: 59% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azyan Farhathnot out 7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 66* | 56 | 7 | 1 | 117.86 |
| Umar Adamcaught · Robert Raina · Mukesh Thakur 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Robert Raina · b Mukesh Thakur | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 225.00 |
| Hassan Rasheedcaught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · Nopphon Senamontree 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · b Nopphon Senamontree | 7 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 36.84 |
| KTK Rodrigocaught · Akshaykumar Yadav · Sarawut Maliwan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Akshaykumar Yadav · b Sarawut Maliwan | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 81.82 |
| Shaof Hassanbowled · Nopphon Senamontree 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nopphon Senamontree | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| bowled · b Chanchai Pengkumta |
| 10 |
| 12 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 83.33 |
| Ismail Alibowled · Robert Raina 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Robert Raina | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 110.00 |
|---|
| Ibrahim Hassancaught · N Nuntarach · Jandre Coetzee 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · N Nuntarach · b Jandre Coetzee | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Ibrahim Rizannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jandre Coetzee0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Mukesh Thakur0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 6 | 0 |
| Chanchai Pengkumta0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sarawut Maliwan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Raina0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Umar Adam, 1.2) · 2-48 (Hassan Rasheed, 6.5) · 3-59 (KTK Rodrigo, 9.5) · 4-61 (Shaof Hassan, 10.2) · 5-83 (Mohamed Azzam, 13.4) · 6-98 (Ismail Ali, 16.3) · 7-114 (Ibrahim Hassan, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 20/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 44/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 49/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 54/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 55/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 59/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 68/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 74/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 80/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 84/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 87/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 91/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 104/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 109/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 114/7 |
| 20 | 13 | 127/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.