Noakhali ExpressversusRajshahi Warriors

29 Dec 2025 · T20

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Rajshahi Warriors won by 6 wickets

Noakhali Express20.0 overs124/8 Rajshahi Warriors17.5 overs125/4 Sylhet International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Noakhali Express started on 45%; Noakhali Express batted first.

Noakhali Express’s chance of winning (%) · Rajshahi Warriors is the rest

Noakhali Express's chances ranged from 0% to 61% during the match (Rajshahi Warriors: 39% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.6: Tanzim Hasan Sakib to Maaz Sadaqat, four by Maaz Sadaqat. Noakhali Express up from 53% to 61%.
1.1: B Fernando to Habibur Rahman, Habibur Rahman out. Rajshahi Warriors up from 39% to 51%.
4.1: R Mondol to Sabbir Hossain, Sabbir Hossain out. Rajshahi Warriors up from 47% to 58%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Noakhali Express124/8 Rajshahi Warriors125/4

Innings 1