Lucknow Super GiantsversusSunrisers Hyderabad

8 May 2024 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 10 wickets

Lucknow Super Giants20.0 overs165/4 Sunrisers Hyderabad9.4 overs167/0 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lucknow Super Giants started on 51%; Lucknow Super Giants batted first.

Lucknow Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Sunrisers Hyderabad is the rest

Lucknow Super Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (Sunrisers Hyderabad: 46% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2.1: B Kumar to Q de Kock, Q de Kock out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 46% to 58%.
4.2: B Kumar to MP Stoinis, MP Stoinis out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 61% to 72%.
11.2: T Natarajan to KH Pandya, KH Pandya out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 73% to 79%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lucknow Super Giants165/4 Sunrisers Hyderabad167/0

Innings 1