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Namibia T20 Tri-Series · 2026 · Men
23 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 75%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 68% to 100% during the match (Nigeria: 0% to 32%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatoncaught · K Boniface · Abdullahi Ismail 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · K Boniface · b Abdullahi Ismail | 16 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 123.08 |
| J Taanyandabowled · Abdullahi Ismail 2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Abdullahi Ismail | 35 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 120.69 |
| Gerhard Erasmuscaught · Sylvester Okpe · Vincent Adewoye 2 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Sylvester Okpe · b Vincent Adewoye | 51 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 255.00 |
| A Busing-Volschenknot out 2 fours · 7 sixes | not out | 73* | 32 | 2 | 7 | 228.13 |
| Zane Greencaught · Vincent Adewoye · Mohameed Taiwo 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vincent Adewoye · b Mohameed Taiwo | 18 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
| caught · O Olaleye · b Abdullahi Ismail |
| 8 |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 88.89 |
| JC Baltnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohameed Taiwo0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Abdullahi Ismail0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Chima Akachukwu0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 56 | 0 | 14.00 | 4 | 1 |
| Vincent Adewoye0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 54 | 1 | 13.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Sylvester Okpe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| K Boniface0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton, 3.3) · 2-79 (Gerhard Erasmus, 8.2) · 3-114 (J Taanyanda, 11.5) · 4-139 (Zane Green, 14.3) · 5-185 (DO Leicher, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 17 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 45/1 |
| 7 | 17 | 62/1 |
| 8 | 15 | 77/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 83/2 |
| 10 | 13 | 96/2 |
| 11 | 14 | 110/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 115/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 122/3 |
| 14 | 15 | 137/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 146/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 150/4 |
| 17 | 25 | 175/4 |
| 18 | 10 | 185/5 |
| 19 | 18 | 203/5 |
| 20 | 17 | 220/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.