Chattogram RoyalsversusRangpur Riders

29 Dec 2025 · T20

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Rangpur Riders won by 7 wickets

Chattogram Royals17.5 overs102/10 Rangpur Riders15.0 overs107/3 Sylhet International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Chattogram Royals started on 45%; Chattogram Royals batted first.

Chattogram Royals’s chance of winning (%) · Rangpur Riders is the rest

Chattogram Royals's chances ranged from 0% to 59% during the match (Rangpur Riders: 41% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.5: Nahid Rana to AM Rossington, AM Rossington out. Rangpur Riders up from 54% to 66%.
5.2: Al Islam to Mahmudul Hasan Joy, Mahmudul Hasan Joy out. Rangpur Riders up from 53% to 63%.
6.3: Faheem Ashraf to Mahfijul Islam, Mahfijul Islam out. Rangpur Riders up from 63% to 74%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Chattogram Royals102/10 Rangpur Riders107/3

Innings 1