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Photo: Barry Dogger
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
30 May 2024 · T20
County Ground, Bristol · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 48%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Gloucestershire: 51% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dean Elgarcaught · Graeme van Buuren · David Payne0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Graeme van Buuren · b David Payne | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Adam Rossingtoncaught · James Bracey · David Payne1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Bracey · b David Payne | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Michael-Kyle Pepperbowled · David Payne 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b David Payne | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jordan Coxcaught · Ben Charlesworth · Marchant de Lange 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ben Charlesworth · b Marchant de Lange | 48 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 177.78 |
| caught · James Bracey · b Matt Taylor |
| 43 |
| 31 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 138.71 |
 Matthew Critchleycaught and bowled · Matt Taylor0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Matt Taylor | 16 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 69.57 |
|---|
 Daniel Samscaught · Jack Taylor · David Payne0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Taylor · b David Payne | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 128.57 |
|---|
 Simon Harmercaught · Jack Taylor · Matt Taylor0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Taylor · b Matt Taylor | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Luc Benkensteincaught · Ollie Price · Matt Taylor 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Price · b Matt Taylor | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ben Allisonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Aaron Beardnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 10* | 4 | 0 | 1 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Payne1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 24 | 4 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Beau Webster0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Marchant de Lange0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Graeme van Buuren0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ollie Price0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Dean Elgar, 0.2) · 2-0 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 0.3) · 3-11 (Adam Rossington, 2.4) · 4-75 (Jordan Cox, 9.1) · 5-110 (Paul Walter, 14.4) · 6-119 (Daniel Sams, 15.5) · 7-127 (Matthew Critchley, 18.1) · 8-127 (Luc Benkenstein, 18.2) · 9-128 (Simon Harmer, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/2 |
| 2 | 5 | 11/2 |
| 3 | 0 | 11/3 |
| 4 | 8 | 19/3 |
| 5 | 9 | 28/3 |
| 6 | 21 | 49/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 55/3 |
| 8 | 11 | 66/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 75/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 78/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 86/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 91/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 94/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 105/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 111/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 119/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 124/6 |
| 18 | 3 | 127/6 |
| 19 | 3 | 130/9 |
| 20 | 11 | 141/9 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aaron Beard: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Allison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marchant de Lange: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
James Bracey: Dave Morton · Public domain
Graeme van Buuren: Dave Morton · Public domain
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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