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England tour of India · 2023/24 · Men
7 Mar 2024 · Test
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamsala · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleybowled · Kuldeep Yadav11 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Kuldeep Yadav | 79 | 108 | 11 | 1 | 73.15 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Shubman Gill · Kuldeep Yadav4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shubman Gill · b Kuldeep Yadav | 27 | 58 | 4 | 0 | 46.55 |
 Ollie Popestumped · Dhruv Jurel · Kuldeep Yadav0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Dhruv Jurel · b Kuldeep Yadav | 11 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 45.83 |
 |
| lbw · b Ravindra Jadeja |
| 26 |
| 56 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 46.43 |
 Jonny Bairstowcaught · Dhruv Jurel · Kuldeep Yadav2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Kuldeep Yadav | 29 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 161.11 |
|---|
 Ben Stokeslbw · Kuldeep Yadav0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kuldeep Yadav | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ben Foakesbowled · Ravichandran Ashwin3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 24 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleycaught · Devdutt Padikkal · Ravichandran Ashwin1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Devdutt Padikkal · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Mark Woodcaught · Rohit Sharma · Ravichandran Ashwin0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rohit Sharma · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Shoaib Bashirnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 22 | 2 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 James Andersoncaught · Devdutt Padikkal · Ravichandran Ashwin0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Devdutt Padikkal · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah2 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 13.0 | 2 | 51 | 0 | 3.92 | 0 | 2 |
 Mohammed Siraj1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravichandran Ashwin1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.4 | 1 | 51 | 4 | 4.37 | 0 | 0 |
 Kuldeep Yadav1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 1 | 72 | 5 | 4.80 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 1.70 | 0 | 0 |
1-64 (Ben Duckett, 18.0) · 2-100 (Ollie Pope, 25.3) · 3-137 (Zak Crawley, 37.2) · 4-175 (Jonny Bairstow, 43.4) · 5-175 (Joe Root, 44.2) · 6-175 (Ben Stokes, 45.4) · 7-183 (Tom Hartley, 49.2) · 8-183 (Mark Wood, 49.4) · 9-218 (Ben Foakes, 57.1) · 10-218 (James Anderson, 57.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 12/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 16/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 20/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 22/0 |
| 9 | 8 | 30/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 35/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 37/0 |
| 12 | 6 | 43/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 47/0 |
| 14 | 0 | 47/0 |
| 15 | 4 | 51/0 |
| 16 | 2 | 53/0 |
| 17 | 2 | 55/0 |
| 18 | 9 | 64/1 |
| 19 | 2 | 66/1 |
| 20 | 1 | 67/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 70/1 |
| 22 | 5 | 75/1 |
| 23 | 9 | 84/1 |
| 24 | 6 | 90/1 |
| 25 | 9 | 99/1 |
| 26 | 2 | 101/2 |
| 27 | 1 | 102/2 |
| 28 | 3 | 105/2 |
| 29 | 8 | 113/2 |
| 30 | 6 | 119/2 |
| 31 | 3 | 122/2 |
| 32 | 2 | 124/2 |
| 33 | 5 | 129/2 |
| 34 | 0 | 129/2 |
| 35 | 0 | 129/2 |
| 36 | 7 | 136/2 |
| 37 | 1 | 137/2 |
| 38 | 6 | 143/3 |
| 39 | 2 | 145/3 |
| 40 | 2 | 147/3 |
| 41 | 5 | 152/3 |
| 42 | 11 | 163/3 |
| 43 | 4 | 167/3 |
| 44 | 8 | 175/4 |
| 45 | 0 | 175/5 |
| 46 | 4 | 179/6 |
| 47 | 2 | 181/6 |
| 48 | 2 | 183/6 |
| 49 | 0 | 183/6 |
| 50 | 0 | 183/8 |
| 51 | 1 | 184/8 |
| 52 | 5 | 189/8 |
| 53 | 1 | 190/8 |
| 54 | 3 | 193/8 |
| 55 | 1 | 194/8 |
| 56 | 12 | 206/8 |
| 57 | 12 | 218/8 |
| 58 | 0 | 218/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Foakes: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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