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Photo: shodan
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2024/25 · Men
31 Jan 2025 · T20
Centurion Park · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 47%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Pretoria Capitals: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HE van der Dussencaught · S Stolk · Gideon Peters 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · S Stolk · b Gideon Peters | 30 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 150.00 |
4 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Tom Rogers | 22 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 169.23 |
4 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 77* | 44 | 4 | 5 | 175.00 |
| Colin Ingramcaught and bowled · Senuran Muthusamy 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Senuran Muthusamy | 16 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Dewald Brevis |
| not out |
| 73* |
| 32 |
| 6 |
| 6 |
| 228.13 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 54 | 1 | 13.50 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 69 | 0 | 17.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| Senuran Muthusamy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Gideon Peters0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 0 | 1 |
1-45 (Ryan Rickelton, 4.4) · 2-54 (HE van der Dussen, 6.1) · 3-80 (Colin Ingram, 8.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 38/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 54/1 |
| 7 | 13 | 67/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 71/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 80/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 87/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 96/3 |
| 12 | 19 | 115/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 123/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 132/3 |
| 15 | 13 | 145/3 |
| 16 | 10 | 155/3 |
| 17 | 19 | 174/3 |
| 18 | 14 | 188/3 |
| 19 | 16 | 204/3 |
| 20 | 18 | 222/3 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marques Ackerman: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rashid Khan: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Migael Pretorius: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Reeza Hendricks: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.