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Papua New Guinea tour of Oman · 2023/24 · Men
8 Mar 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Papua New Guinea started on 36%; Papua New Guinea batted first.
Papua New Guinea's chances ranged from 0% to 55% during the match (Oman: 45% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Uracaught · Rafiullah · Kaleemullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rafiullah · b Kaleemullah | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Sese Baucaught · PS Athavale · Bilal Khan 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · PS Athavale · b Bilal Khan | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 157.14 |
 Assad Valabowled · Aaqib Ilyas3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aaqib Ilyas | 22 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 95.65 |
| Lega Siakacaught · Aaqib Ilyas · Mehran Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aaqib Ilyas · b Mehran Khan | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
| CJA Aminirun out · Mehran Khan · Kaleemullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Mehran Khan |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Hiri Hirinot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 53* | 49 | 5 | 0 | 108.16 |
|---|
| Kiplin Dorigastumped · PS Athavale · Aaqib Ilyas 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · PS Athavale · b Aaqib Ilyas | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Chad Sopernot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 18 | 1 | 0 | 94.44 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilal Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaleemullah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Mehran Khan0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 7 | 0 |
| Zeeshan Maqsood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaqib Ilyas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Tony Ura, 1.3) · 2-23 (Sese Bau, 2.5) · 3-38 (Lega Siaka, 4.4) · 4-39 (CJA Amini, 6.0) · 5-68 (Assad Vala, 10.4) · 6-82 (Kiplin Doriga, 13.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 14 | 24/2 |
| 4 | 9 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 38/3 |
| 6 | 1 | 39/4 |
| 7 | 9 | 48/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 51/4 |
| 9 | 8 | 59/4 |
| 10 | 8 | 67/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 70/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 74/5 |
| 13 | 8 | 82/6 |
| 14 | 8 | 90/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 95/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 99/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 103/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 108/6 |
| 19 | 11 | 119/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 127/6 |
Assad Vala: LondonWriting · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
