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Asian Cricket Council Women's Premier Cup · 2023/24 · Women
13 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
China more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 34%; Oman batted first.
Oman's chances ranged from 0% to 36% during the match (China: 64% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PE Mendoncabowled · Mengting Liu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mengting Liu | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| N Joshicaught and bowled · Xu Qian 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Xu Qian | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Javed Hinacaught · Zheng Lili · Mengting Liu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zheng Lili · b Mengting Liu | 10 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 29.41 |
| A Dcostabowled · Xu Qian 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Xu Qian | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| A Gunasekarbowled · Yang Yu Xuan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Yang Yu Xuan | 5 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 22.73 |
| TB Pawderun out · Zi Mei · Zhang Xiangxue1 fours · 0 sixes |
| run out · Zi Mei |
| 4 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| SV Shettyrun out · Mengting Liu · M Zhu 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Mengting Liu | 13 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 76.47 |
|---|
| Sameera Khancaught · Mengting Liu · Xu Qian 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mengting Liu · b Xu Qian | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| SK Shettycaught and bowled · Mengting Liu 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Mengting Liu | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| S Jeelanybowled · Zheng Lili 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zheng Lili | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
|---|
| CM Saldanhanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 15 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xu Qian1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Mengting Liu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Yang Yu Xuan1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Zheng Lili0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 4.13 | 1 | 0 |
| M Zhu0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Zhang Xiangxue0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-2 (N Joshi, 0.5) · 2-4 (PE Mendonca, 1.2) · 3-6 (A Dcosta, 2.4) · 4-18 (A Gunasekar, 7.5) · 5-31 (TB Pawde, 11.5) · 6-44 (Javed Hina, 14.4) · 7-45 (Sameera Khan, 15.1) · 8-47 (SK Shetty, 16.4) · 9-54 (SV Shetty, 19.0) · 10-56 (S Jeelany, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 6/2 |
| 3 | 0 | 6/3 |
| 4 | 1 | 7/3 |
| 5 | 2 | 9/3 |
| 6 | 4 | 13/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 17/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 18/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 23/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 29/4 |
| 11 | 1 | 30/4 |
| 12 | 1 | 31/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 35/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 39/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 45/6 |
| 16 | 1 | 46/7 |
| 17 | 1 | 47/8 |
| 18 | 3 | 50/8 |
| 19 | 4 | 54/9 |
| 20 | 2 | 56/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.