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Photo: Seksan Phonsuwan
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ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy · 2025/26 · Women
25 Nov 2025 · T20
Asian Institute of Technology Ground, Bangkok · Venue photographRecorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 18%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 19% during the match (Scotland: 81% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sune Wittmannbowled · Rachel Slater 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rachel Slater | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| E Van Zylcaught · Ellen Watson · Katherine Fraser 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ellen Watson · b Katherine Fraser | 12 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Kayleen Greenbowled · MA Parker (2) 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b MA Parker (2) | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Yasmeen Khanbowled · Katherine Fraser 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Katherine Fraser | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
| M Gorasescaught · Priyanaz Chatterji · Katherine Fraser 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Priyanaz Chatterji · b Katherine Fraser | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| not out |
| 15* |
| 32 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 46.88 |
| Wilka Mwatilecaught · Darcey Carter · Abtaha Maqsood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Darcey Carter · b Abtaha Maqsood | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54.55 |
|---|
| Arrasta Diergaardtlbw · Abtaha Maqsood 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Abtaha Maqsood | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
| N Benjaminrun out · Sarah Bryce, MA Parker (2) · MA Parker (2) 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sarah Bryce, MA Parker (2) | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 58.33 |
|---|
| Eveleen Kejarukuabowled · Chloe Abel 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chloe Abel | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| L Vissercaught · Darcey Carter · Abtaha Maqsood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Darcey Carter · b Abtaha Maqsood | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 10 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Slater0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| MA Parker (2)0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 5 | 1 |
| Katherine Fraser0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Priyanaz Chatterji0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Chloe Abel0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 2 |
1-2 (Sune Wittmann, 0.3) · 2-3 (Kayleen Green, 1.4) · 3-26 (Yasmeen Khan, 4.2) · 4-27 (E Van Zyl, 4.5) · 5-29 (M Gorases, 6.2) · 6-36 (Wilka Mwatile, 9.1) · 7-46 (Arrasta Diergaardt, 10.0) · 8-61 (N Benjamin, 14.0) · 9-68 (Eveleen Kejarukua, 15.2) · 10-74 (L Visser, 16.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/2 |
| 3 | 8 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 12 | 25/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 28/4 |
| 6 | 1 | 29/4 |
| 7 | 4 | 33/5 |
| 8 | 2 | 35/5 |
| 9 | 1 | 36/5 |
| 10 | 10 | 46/7 |
| 11 | 1 | 47/7 |
| 12 | 3 | 50/7 |
| 13 | 9 | 59/7 |
| 14 | 2 | 61/8 |
| 15 | 6 | 67/8 |
| 16 | 5 | 72/9 |
| 17 | 2 | 74/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.