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ACC Men's Premier Cup · 2024 · Men
13 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 37%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 11% to 95% during the match (Saudi Arabia: 5% to 89%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Amircaught · Zain Ul Abidin · Ahmad Raza 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zain Ul Abidin · b Ahmad Raza | 15 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Virandeep Singhcaught · Hisham Sheikh · Ishtiaq Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hisham Sheikh · b Ishtiaq Ahmad | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sharvin Muniandybowled · Usman Najeeb 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Usman Najeeb | 22 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 169.23 |
| Syed Azizcaught · Usman Khalid · Waji Ul Hassan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Usman Khalid · b Waji Ul Hassan | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
| Ahmed Faizlbw · Usman Najeeb 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Usman Najeeb | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| not out |
| 65* |
| 46 |
| 7 |
| 2 |
| 141.30 |
| Vijay Unnicaught · Usman Khalid · Hisham Sheikh 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Usman Khalid · b Hisham Sheikh | 20 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 105.26 |
|---|
| Nazmus Sakibcaught · Zain Ul Abidin · Usman Najeeb 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zain Ul Abidin · b Usman Najeeb | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Khizar Hayatnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 142.86 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ahmad Raza0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Usman Najeeb0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 0 | 2 |
| Waji Ul Hassan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Hisham Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Zain Ul Abidin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Virandeep Singh, 0.3) · 2-33 (Sharvin Muniandy, 4.5) · 3-39 (Muhammad Amir, 5.3) · 4-40 (Ahmed Faiz, 6.1) · 5-53 (Syed Aziz, 8.5) · 6-101 (Vijay Unni, 15.2) · 7-111 (Nazmus Sakib, 16.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 17/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 40/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 42/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 45/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 54/5 |
| 10 | 1 | 55/5 |
| 11 | 11 | 66/5 |
| 12 | 8 | 74/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 79/5 |
| 14 | 12 | 91/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 100/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 105/6 |
| 17 | 12 | 117/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 123/7 |
| 19 | 14 | 137/7 |
| 20 | 9 | 146/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.