Melbourne RenegadesversusPerth Scorchers

31 Oct 2026 · T20

WACA, Perth · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Perth Scorchers won by 9 wickets

Melbourne Renegades20.0 overs136/6 Perth Scorchers13.3 overs138/1 WACA, Perth ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Melbourne Renegades started on 40%; Melbourne Renegades batted first.

Melbourne Renegades’s chance of winning (%) · Perth Scorchers is the rest

Melbourne Renegades's chances ranged from 0% to 47% during the match (Perth Scorchers: 53% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2.5: CC Ainsworth to HK Matthews, HK Matthews out. Perth Scorchers up from 56% to 65%.
3.2: Fatima Sana to S Molineux, S Molineux out. Perth Scorchers up from 66% to 75%.
2nd inns 2.4: TJ Vlaeminck to KM Mack, KM Mack out. Melbourne Renegades up from 22% to 31%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match highlights

All highlights →

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Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Renegades Match Highlights | WBBL|12 | Fox Cricket

Fox Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-31

Melbourne Renegades136/6 Perth Scorchers138/1

Innings 1