Lucknow Super GiantsversusDelhi Capitals

24 Mar 2025 · T20

Dr. Y.S. Rajasekhara Reddy ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium, Visakhapatnam · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Delhi Capitals won by 1 wickets

Lucknow Super Giants20.0 overs209/8 Delhi Capitals19.3 overs211/9 Dr. Y.S. Rajasekhara Reddy ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium, Visakhapatnam ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lucknow Super Giants started on 48%; Lucknow Super Giants batted first.

Lucknow Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

Lucknow Super Giants's chances ranged from 42% to 99% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 1% to 58%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 18.3: Prince Yadav to Kuldeep Yadav, Kuldeep Yadav out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 71% to 95%.
2nd inns 18.6: Prince Yadav to Ashutosh Sharma, four by Ashutosh Sharma. Delhi Capitals up from 27% to 58%.
2nd inns 19.3: Shahbaz Ahmed to Ashutosh Sharma, six by Ashutosh Sharma. Delhi Capitals up from 51% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lucknow Super Giants209/8 Delhi Capitals211/9

Innings 1