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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Thailand) · 2025/26 · Men
27 Feb 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 75%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 44% to 98% during the match (Thailand: 2% to 56%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asif Alibowled · Kamron Senamontree 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kamron Senamontree | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| P Kurupcaught · S Desungnoen · Phanuphong Thongsa 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Desungnoen · b Phanuphong Thongsa | 26 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 104.00 |
| Sohail Ahmedcaught · Akshaykumar Yadav · Jandre Coetzee 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Akshaykumar Yadav · b Jandre Coetzee | 50 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 111.11 |
| Fiaz Ahmedcaught · Phanuphong Thongsa · Nopphon Senamontree 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Phanuphong Thongsa · b Nopphon Senamontree | 12 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 70.59 |
| Ahmer Bin Nasirbowled · Jandre Coetzee 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jandre Coetzee | 15 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 115.38 |
| Yasser Nazircaught · Akshaykumar Yadav · Kamron Senamontree 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Akshaykumar Yadav · b Kamron Senamontree |
| 1 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 20.00 |
| Rizwan Buttcaught · S Desungnoen · Mukesh Thakur 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · S Desungnoen · b Mukesh Thakur | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Ali Dawoodnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Asif Shaikhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamron Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jandre Coetzee0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Mukesh Thakur0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Phanuphong Thongsa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Chaloemwong Chatphaisan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Asif Ali, 0.5) · 2-46 (P Kurup, 7.3) · 3-92 (Fiaz Ahmed, 14.3) · 4-111 (Sohail Ahmed, 16.4) · 5-112 (Yasser Nazir, 17.3) · 6-118 (Ahmer Bin Nasir, 18.3) · 7-122 (Rizwan Butt, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 34/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 43/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 48/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 51/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 60/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 64/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 70/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 80/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 90/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 92/3 |
| 16 | 15 | 107/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 112/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 118/5 |
| 19 | 3 | 121/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 126/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.