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Pakistan Tri-Nation Series · 2024/25 · Men
14 Feb 2025 · ODI
National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photographRecorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b William O’Rourke | 10 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 66.67 |
4 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nathan Smith | 29 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 85.29 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Michael Bracewell | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| bowled · b William O’Rourke |
| 46 |
| 76 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 60.53 |
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Jacob Duffy · Michael Bracewell 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jacob Duffy · b Michael Bracewell | 45 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 69.23 |
|---|
| Tayyab Tahircaught · Kane Williamson · Jacob Duffy 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kane Williamson · b Jacob Duffy | 38 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 115.15 |
|---|
| Khushdil Shahcaught · Glenn Phillips · Mitchell Santner 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b Mitchell Santner | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 38.89 |
|---|
| Fahim Ashrafcaught · Mitchell Santner · William O’Rourke 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Santner · b William O’Rourke | 22 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 104.76 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Mitchell Santner | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b William O’Rourke | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 111.76 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 6.86 | 1 | 1 | |
| 9.3 | 0 | 43 | 4 | 4.53 | 4 | 0 | |
| Michael Bracewell1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 38 | 2 | 3.80 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 6.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Glenn Phillips0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 6.83 | 2 | 0 |
1-16 (Fakhar Zaman, 3.5) · 2-46 (Saud Shakeel, 8.3) · 3-54 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 11.5) · 4-142 (Mohammad Rizwan, 31.5) · 5-161 (Salman Ali Agha, 36.5) · 6-195 (Tayyab Tahir, 41.5) · 7-200 (Khushdil Shah, 43.1) · 8-202 (Shaheen Afridi, 44.0) · 9-241 (Fahim Ashraf, 49.1) · 10-242 (Naseem Shah, 49.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 23/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 29/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 39/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 46/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 46/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 48/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 50/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 54/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 57/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 61/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 63/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 65/3 |
| 17 | 3 | 68/3 |
| 18 | 1 | 69/3 |
| 19 | 7 | 76/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 78/3 |
| 21 | 4 | 82/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 84/3 |
| 23 | 12 | 96/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 100/3 |
| 25 | 8 | 108/3 |
| 26 | 0 | 108/3 |
| 27 | 4 | 112/3 |
| 28 | 2 | 114/3 |
| 29 | 3 | 117/3 |
| 30 | 5 | 122/3 |
| 31 | 10 | 132/3 |
| 32 | 11 | 143/4 |
| 33 | 7 | 150/4 |
| 34 | 2 | 152/4 |
| 35 | 4 | 156/4 |
| 36 | 2 | 158/4 |
| 37 | 4 | 162/5 |
| 38 | 3 | 165/5 |
| 39 | 2 | 167/5 |
| 40 | 14 | 181/5 |
| 41 | 12 | 193/5 |
| 42 | 3 | 196/6 |
| 43 | 4 | 200/6 |
| 44 | 2 | 202/8 |
| 45 | 5 | 207/8 |
| 46 | 3 | 210/8 |
| 47 | 9 | 219/8 |
| 48 | 9 | 228/8 |
| 49 | 13 | 241/8 |
| 50 | 1 | 242/10 |
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Naseem Shah: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Fakhar Zaman: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abrar Ahmed: Nazly Ahmed · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.