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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier B · 2026/27 · Men
9 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Singapore more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Singapore started on 61%; Singapore batted first.
Singapore's chances ranged from 62% to 100% during the match (Maldives: 0% to 38%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suryansh Gulechacaught · Harsha Amarasinghe · Sheraz Iqbal 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Harsha Amarasinghe · b Sheraz Iqbal | 20 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 166.67 |
| Surendran Chandramohancaught · Mohamed Rishwan · Harsha Amarasinghe 13 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Mohamed Rishwan · b Harsha Amarasinghe | 105 | 61 | 13 | 4 | 172.13 |
| Riaan Naikcaught · Ameel Mauroof · Azyan Farhath 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ameel Mauroof · b Azyan Farhath | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Manpreet Singhbowled · Sheraz Iqbal 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sheraz Iqbal | 50 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 138.89 |
| Daksh Tyagicaught · Ameel Mauroof · Harsha Amarasinghe 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ameel Mauroof · b Harsha Amarasinghe | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Girin Gunenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Harsh Venkataramrun out · Hassan Rasheed, Harsha Amarasinghe · Sheraz Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hassan Rasheed, Harsha Amarasinghe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| KB Zandaninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harsha Amarasinghe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheraz Iqbal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 10.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Umar Adam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Azyan Farhath0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ibrahim Rizan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Ameel Mauroof0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-50 (Suryansh Gulecha, 5.1) · 2-80 (Riaan Naik, 7.4) · 3-175 (Surendran Chandramohan, 18.2) · 4-175 (Daksh Tyagi, 18.4) · 5-181 (Manpreet Singh, 19.2) · 6-182 (Harsh Venkataram, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 35/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 48/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 50/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 61/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 71/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 82/2 |
| 9 | 12 | 94/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 103/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 108/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 113/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 120/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 125/2 |
| 15 | 13 | 138/2 |
| 16 | 11 | 149/2 |
| 17 | 11 | 160/2 |
| 18 | 14 | 174/2 |
| 19 | 3 | 177/4 |
| 20 | 11 | 188/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.