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Serbia Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2026 · Women
6 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Croatia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Serbia started on 44%; Serbia batted first.
Serbia's chances ranged from 0% to 45% during the match (Croatia: 56% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Jevdjenovicbowled · H Leko 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b H Leko | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| B Ercegovcevicrun out · I Majdancic, M Modric · M Durdevac 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · I Majdancic, M Modric | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| D Demicbowled · H Leko 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b H Leko | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| N Nojicbowled · L Krvaric 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b L Krvaric | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
| M Perisicbowled · H Leko 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b H Leko | 9 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| M Stevanovicbowled · D Pavelic1 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b D Pavelic |
| 8 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 72.73 |
| M Trajkovicbowled · D Pavelic 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b D Pavelic | 14 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 60.87 |
|---|
| Dunja Miskovicbowled · P Senjug 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b P Senjug | 10 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 43.48 |
|---|
| K Risticrun out · P Senjug, D Pavelic · D Pavelic 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · P Senjug, D Pavelic | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
|---|
| Jana Majskicaught · H Leko · M Durdevac 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Leko · b M Durdevac | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 5.56 |
|---|
| A Djordjevicnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 27 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H Leko0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 3.25 | 4 | 0 |
| M Durdevac0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 4.00 | 6 | 1 |
| P Senjug0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 4 | 1 |
| D Pavelic0 maidens · 9 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 9 | 2 |
| L Krvaric1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 4 | 0 |
1-0 (M Jevdjenovic, 0.2) · 2-4 (D Demic, 0.5) · 3-5 (B Ercegovcevic, 1.4) · 4-16 (N Nojic, 4.2) · 5-30 (M Perisic, 7.0) · 6-37 (M Stevanovic, 7.4) · 7-68 (Dunja Miskovic, 14.3) · 8-77 (M Trajkovic, 15.4) · 9-78 (K Ristic, 17.1) · 10-85 (Jana Majski, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/2 |
| 2 | 2 | 6/3 |
| 3 | 3 | 9/3 |
| 4 | 5 | 14/3 |
| 5 | 8 | 22/4 |
| 6 | 3 | 25/4 |
| 7 | 5 | 30/5 |
| 8 | 8 | 38/6 |
| 9 | 5 | 43/6 |
| 10 | 4 | 47/6 |
| 11 | 5 | 52/6 |
| 12 | 7 | 59/6 |
| 13 | 3 | 62/6 |
| 14 | 4 | 66/6 |
| 15 | 6 | 72/7 |
| 16 | 5 | 77/8 |
| 17 | 1 | 78/8 |
| 18 | 4 | 82/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 82/9 |
| 20 | 3 | 85/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.