**Kingsmead, Durban**
Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
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Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.

SA20 · 2025/26 · Men

Pretoria CapitalsversusDurban's Super Giants

7 Jan 2026 · T20

Kingsmead, Durban · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Pretoria Capitals won by 15 runs

Pretoria Capitals20.0 overs201/4 Durban's Super Giants19.4 overs186/10 Kingsmead, Durban ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Pretoria Capitals started on 44%; Pretoria Capitals batted first.

Pretoria Capitals’s chance of winning (%) · Durban's Super Giants is the rest

Pretoria Capitals's chances ranged from 45% to 99% during the match (Durban's Super Giants: 1% to 55%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 3.6: RL Chase to MJ Ackerman, MJ Ackerman out. Pretoria Capitals up from 62% to 74%.
2nd inns 4.5: LB Williams to KS Williamson, KS Williamson out. Pretoria Capitals up from 70% to 81%.
2nd inns 9.3: GG Peters to AK Markram, AK Markram out. Pretoria Capitals up from 72% to 81%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Pretoria Capitals201/4 Durban's Super Giants186/10

Innings 1