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Malaysia Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2024 · Men
27 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 46%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 0% to 78% during the match (Kuwait: 22% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Coetzeerun out · Muhammad Umar · Mohamed Shafeeq 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Muhammad Umar | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Zeeshan Alicaught · Bilal Tahir · Shiraz Khan 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Bilal Tahir · b Shiraz Khan | 50 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 128.21 |
| Nizakat Khancaught · Shiraz Khan · Yasin Patel 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Shiraz Khan · b Yasin Patel | 48 | 39 | 1 | 3 | 123.08 |
| Babar Hayatcaught · Muhammad Umar · Adnan Idrees 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Muhammad Umar · b Adnan Idrees | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Yasim Murtazacaught · Muhammad Umar · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Umar · b Yasin Patel | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Nasrulla Rananot out 1 fours · 1 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 20* |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 153.85 |
| Rajab Hussainnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Shafeeq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasin Patel0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Shiraz Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Adnan Idrees0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Martin Coetzee, 0.5) · 2-96 (Zeeshan Ali, 12.1) · 3-110 (Babar Hayat, 14.2) · 4-120 (Nizakat Khan, 16.5) · 5-135 (Yasim Murtaza, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 18/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 28/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 41/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 51/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 55/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 60/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 67/1 |
| 11 | 12 | 79/1 |
| 12 | 17 | 96/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 98/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 104/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 112/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 116/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 121/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 130/4 |
| 19 | 5 | 135/5 |
| 20 | 11 | 146/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.