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Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
19 Jan 2025 · T20
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 44%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 17% to 100% during the match (Northern Districts: 0% to 83%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Bowescaught · Neil Wagner · Kris Clarke 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Neil Wagner · b Kris Clarke | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Tom Lathamcaught · Ben Pomare · Freddy Walker3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Pomare · b Freddy Walker | 46 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 112.20 |
| Matt Boylecaught · Mitchell Santner · Brett Hampton 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mitchell Santner · b Brett Hampton | 49 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 188.46 |
| Cole McConchierun out · Matthew Fisher · Freddy Walker 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Matthew Fisher | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mitchell Haycaught · Neil Wagner · Mitchell Santner 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Neil Wagner · b Mitchell Santner |
| 7 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 58.33 |
| Michael Ripponcaught · Katene Clarke · Freddy Walker 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Katene Clarke · b Freddy Walker | 13 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 86.67 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkescaught · Jeet Raval · Neil Wagner 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jeet Raval · b Neil Wagner | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Henry Shipleyrun out · Katene Clarke, Ben Pomare · Neil Wagner 0 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Katene Clarke, Ben Pomare | 21 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 190.91 |
|---|
 Kyle Jamiesonnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 6 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Ish Sodhirun out · Ben Pomare, Jeet Raval · Neil Wagner0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ben Pomare, Jeet Raval | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Clarke0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Matthew Fisher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Neil Wagner0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 2 | 0 |
 Brett Hampton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Freddy Walker0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 3 | 0 |
1-2 (Chad Bowes, 0.4) · 2-75 (Matt Boyle, 7.5) · 3-76 (Cole McConchie, 8.1) · 4-105 (Mitchell Hay, 12.1) · 5-116 (Tom Latham, 14.5) · 6-123 (Zakary Foulkes, 16.0) · 7-133 (Michael Rippon, 17.5) · 8-164 (Henry Shipley, 19.5) · 9-165 (Ish Sodhi, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 18 | 64/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 69/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 75/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 81/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 89/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 95/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 105/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 107/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 114/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 117/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 123/6 |
| 17 | 6 | 129/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 134/7 |
| 19 | 18 | 152/7 |
| 20 | 13 | 165/9 |
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Neil Wagner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Ben Pomare: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brett Hampton: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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