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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
13 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Romania more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hungary started on 36%; Hungary batted first.
Hungary's chances ranged from 0% to 44% during the match (Romania: 56% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbas Ghanibowled · M Koli 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Koli | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| V Ravindranlbw · M Koli 3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b M Koli | 35 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 145.83 |
| HV Mandhyanrun out · S Nadigotla, P Hingorani · AN Lascu 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · S Nadigotla, P Hingorani | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Sheikh Rasikhit wicket · V Saini 0 fours · 0 sixes | hit wicket · b V Saini | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 26.67 |
| Abhishek Ahujabowled · V Saini 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b V Saini | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| M Fontainebowled · M Koli0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b M Koli |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Ali Farasatcaught · S Nadigotla · Ali Hussain 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Nadigotla · b Ali Hussain | 32 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 118.52 |
|---|
| Danyal Akbarcaught · S Nadigotla · V Saini 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Nadigotla · b V Saini | 17 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 77.27 |
|---|
| Muhammad Burhancaught · Muhammad Moiz · M Koli 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Moiz · b M Koli | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| SA Mohandasbowled · M Koli 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Koli | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Amal Jacobnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Koli0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 5 | 7.00 | 6 | 0 |
| AN Lascu0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
| V Saini0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 2.70 | 0 | 0 |
| S Vashisht1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Hussain0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Moiz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Abbas Ghani, 1.0) · 2-21 (HV Mandhyan, 3.2) · 3-32 (Sheikh Rasik, 6.3) · 4-32 (Abhishek Ahuja, 6.5) · 5-44 (M Fontaine, 8.1) · 6-48 (V Ravindran, 9.0) · 7-93 (Ali Farasat, 15.3) · 8-102 (Muhammad Burhan, 16.4) · 9-102 (SA Mohandas, 16.5) · 10-110 (Danyal Akbar, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 28/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 29/2 |
| 6 | 0 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 32/4 |
| 8 | 12 | 44/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 48/6 |
| 10 | 9 | 57/6 |
| 11 | 5 | 62/6 |
| 12 | 11 | 73/6 |
| 13 | 5 | 78/6 |
| 14 | 5 | 83/6 |
| 15 | 6 | 89/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 94/7 |
| 17 | 9 | 103/9 |
| 18 | 7 | 110/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 110/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.