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Netherlands Women's ODI Tri-Series · 2024 · Women
11 Aug 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Papua New Guinea started on 33%; Papua New Guinea batted first.
Papua New Guinea's chances ranged from 0% to 41% during the match (Scotland: 59% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naoani Varebowled · Priyanaz Chatterji 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Priyanaz Chatterji | 44 | 87 | 4 | 0 | 50.57 |
| Vicky Araacaught and bowled · Chloe Abel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Chloe Abel | 9 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 23.08 |
| Tanya Rumabowled · Chloe Abel 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chloe Abel | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sibona Jimmycaught and bowled · Abtaha Maqsood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Abtaha Maqsood | 9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 64.29 |
| Brenda Taurun out · Abbi Aitken · G Fontenla 5 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Abbi Aitken | 38 | 53 | 5 | 0 | 71.70 |
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Priyanaz Chatterji · b Saskia Horley |
| 13 |
| 21 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 61.90 |
| Lakshmi Rajaduraistumped · Ellen Watson · Darcey Carter 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ellen Watson · b Darcey Carter | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 15.00 |
|---|
| K Frankbowled · Priyanaz Chatterji 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Priyanaz Chatterji | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| HJ Thomasbowled · Darcey Carter 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Darcey Carter | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Isabel Touacaught and bowled · Darcey Carter 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Darcey Carter | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| V Burukanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 11 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Fontenla0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 3.13 | 5 | 0 |
| Olivia Bell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 3.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Chloe Abel1 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 4.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Darcey Carter1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 2.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Priyanaz Chatterji1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.3 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 2.92 | 2 | 0 |
| Abtaha Maqsood1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Saskia Horley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 4.62 | 0 | 0 |
1-44 (Vicky Araa, 15.2) · 2-44 (Tanya Ruma, 15.3) · 3-64 (Sibona Jimmy, 19.4) · 4-82 (Naoani Vare, 26.3) · 5-111 (Pauke Siaka, 33.1) · 6-128 (Brenda Tau, 38.5) · 7-130 (Lakshmi Rajadurai, 39.2) · 8-131 (HJ Thomas, 39.4) · 9-131 (Isabel Toua, 40.0) · 10-133 (K Frank, 40.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 13/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 16/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 19/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 23/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 24/0 |
| 10 | 2 | 26/0 |
| 11 | 1 | 27/0 |
| 12 | 10 | 37/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 39/0 |
| 14 | 0 | 39/0 |
| 15 | 4 | 43/0 |
| 16 | 2 | 45/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 18 | 6 | 56/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 60/2 |
| 20 | 5 | 65/3 |
| 21 | 0 | 65/3 |
| 22 | 4 | 69/3 |
| 23 | 6 | 75/3 |
| 24 | 0 | 75/3 |
| 25 | 2 | 77/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 81/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 84/4 |
| 28 | 5 | 89/4 |
| 29 | 3 | 92/4 |
| 30 | 3 | 95/4 |
| 31 | 5 | 100/4 |
| 32 | 6 | 106/4 |
| 33 | 5 | 111/5 |
| 34 | 6 | 117/5 |
| 35 | 3 | 120/5 |
| 36 | 0 | 120/5 |
| 37 | 3 | 123/5 |
| 38 | 1 | 124/5 |
| 39 | 6 | 130/6 |
| 40 | 1 | 131/9 |
| 41 | 2 | 133/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.